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AP FACT CHECK: Trump in a stock market and budget tempest

WASHINGTON (AP) - The weeklong drama over the hourslong executive shutdown set unfastened overblown rhetoric from each events whilst President Donald Trump wrestled inartfully with turmoil in the stock market, considered one of his favourite bragging issues till it tanked.

On the sidelines of the budget struggle, Trump pitched his marketing campaign in opposition to the MS-13 gang. He perceived to overstate the succeed in of the violent group in his choice to hyperlink immigrants with felony conduct and to justify cash for a wall alongside the U.S.-Mexico border. Meantime his EPA leader misrepresented the science on international warming, a few of it coming from his personal company.

A evaluate of a few statements by means of Trump and different public figures throughout a week of turbulence on a couple of fronts:

TRUMP: “We’re here to discuss the tremendous threat of MS-13, one of the most violent and vicious gangs anywhere in the world. We’ve really never seen anything quite like this.” - remarks Tuesday at a legislation enforcement assembly.

THE FACTS: The crew is indubitably violent however its general numbers are fairly restricted. Federal prosecutors imagine MS-13 now has hundreds of individuals around the nation, but statistics display they account for not up to 1 % of overall U.S. gang club.

Formed in Los Angeles in the 1980s by means of El Salvador refugees and extra just lately expanded in Central America, the crowd is certainly related to important choice of homicides in sure portions of the U.S., together with 25 killings on New York’s Long Island in the previous two years. Even so, an FBI record put the crowd neatly in the back of different gangs for crimes at the southwest border - 7th of 12 - with the Surenos, Barrio Azteca and Tango Blast ranked in the highest 3.

Despite Trump’s rivalry that “MS-13 recruits through our broken immigration system, violating our borders, and it just comes right through,” the crowd has many U.S.-born individuals at this level - individuals who by means of distinctive feature of U.S. citizenship can’t be denied access according to their nationality, or deported. The executive has now not mentioned just lately what number of individuals it thinks are electorate and immigrants. In notable raids on MS-13 in 2015 and 2016, most people stuck had been discovered to be U.S. electorate.

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TRUMP: “In the ‘old days,’ when good news was reported, the Stock Market would go up. Today, when good news is reported, the Stock Market goes down. Big mistake, and we have so much good (great) news about the economy!” - tweet Wednesday.

THE FACTS: It’s now not that easy, and it’s now not true that a certain financial indicator essentially approach a upward push in shares. The reverse can occur, relying on what kind of chain response is expected by means of traders.

The market dive was once precipitated in phase by means of the inside track that wages are emerging at the most efficient tempo in 8 years after a extended bout of gradual beneficial properties. Higher wages can result in extra inflation. The Federal Reserve may just attempt to restrain inflation by means of elevating rates of interest, which might harm company income and prohibit the tempo of financial enlargement. That’s how excellent information for employees can include a drawback for traders.

Likewise, dangerous information could make the market upward push. In 2016, for instance, the Labor Department to start with reported that employers added a mere 38,000 jobs in May. After slipping that day, the Dow Jones commercial reasonable climbed the following buying and selling day. A vulnerable jobs record could cause shares to dip in brief, then surge the next days at the trust that the Fed will grasp off on fee will increase.

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TRUMP: “The ones that don’t want security at the Southern border, or any other border, are the Democrats. They don’t care about the security of our country. They don’t care about MS-13 killers pouring into our country. … Nobody was bringing them out before us.” - speech Monday in Ohio.

THE FACTS: Recent historical past does now not display such indifference. The U.S. performed document deportations throughout the Obama management and, on MS-13 particularly, performed raids of the crowd and introduced a freeze on its U.S. belongings.

Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen mentioned on the assembly Tuesday that MS-13 is “the first gang dangerous enough to be classified as a transnational criminal organization.” That’s true, but it surely was once the Obama management that took that exceptional motion.

Trump’s Justice Department has not directly credited the Obama management, in its early years, with hanging heavy force at the gang. It mentioned, “Through the combined efforts of federal, state and local law enforcement, great progress was made diminishing or severely (disrupting) the gang within certain targeted areas of the U.S. by 2009 and 2010.” That was once now not sufficient to overwhelm MS-13 and Trump is taking further steps towards that purpose. But he isn't the primary to move after the crowd.

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REP. NANCY PELOSI, Democratic House chief: “What it accomplished was to say, we have our beliefs and we are willing to fight for them, and we are willing to fight for them on the floor of the House. It was a simple question to the speaker, why can’t we have a vote in the House of Representatives?” - telling journalists Thursday why she staged an eight-hour speech to press House Republicans to permit a vote on protective the ones younger immigrants who got here to the U.S. as kids and reside right here illegally.

THE FACTS: Her speech generated headlines for its document period, however was once it in point of fact a combat for her celebration’s ideals? Despite her rhetoric, many House Democrats mentioned they weren’t driven by means of Pelosi’s management group to oppose the Senate budget deal with out the immigration protections. Her efficiency additionally had no quick have an effect on on Republican leaders, who declined to time table a vote at the younger immigrants even supposing they wanted Democratic improve for the budget pact to finish a 2d executive shutdown.

Ultimately, 73 House Democrats voted in prefer of the budget invoice, permitting it to cross 240-186.

Pelosi’s speech gave the impression extra aimed toward liberals in the Democratic Party who had been livid that Senate Democrats reduce a budget deal with out the protections for approximately 800,000 younger other folks dropped at the U.S. as kids and now dwelling in the rustic illegally. Pelosi has been stressing since overdue ultimate 12 months that the ones protections must be tied to spending expenses as a solution to power motion at the factor. Her connection with combating for “our beliefs” glosses over her celebration’s divisions at the subject.

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SCOTT PRUITT, EPA administrator: “I think there’s assumptions made that because the climate is warming, that that necessarily is a bad thing.” - interview with KSNV-TV in Las Vegas on Tuesday.

THE FACTS: It is a dangerous factor, with harmful penalties a long way outweighing scattered advantages, in step with vast clinical consensus. That consensus reaches into Pruitt’s personal division, which helped write a federal draft record ultimate 12 months that estimates warmth from international warming will motive four,500 to nine,000 further deaths a 12 months by means of the top of the century and impose further prices of $60 billion to $140 billion a 12 months.

Global warming may just carry milder winters and longer rising seasons to a few spaces of the U.S. however many of the nation faces heatwaves and droughts of better severity, more potent tropical storms and larger coastal flooding.

As neatly, mentioned Dr. Howard Frumkin, a professor appointed by means of Republican President George W. Bush to guide the National Center for Environmental Health, scorching climate “promotes the spread of infectious diseases, reduces work capacity, increases rates of injuries and violent crimes, impairs sleep, reduces agricultural production, worsens air quality, and prolongs the allergy season.”

Earth now could be as heat because it’s been for approximately 11,000 years, a number of research have discovered.

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PRUITT: “Our activity contributes to the climate changing to a certain degree. Now, measuring that with precision … is more challenging than is let on at times.” - KSNV-TV interview.

THE FACTS: A “certain degree” hugely understates the science. Recent research depart little question that human job is the overpowering reason behind local weather exchange.

The National Climate Assessment’s Climate Science Special Report, revealed in November from a consortium of presidency businesses that integrated EPA, calculated that human contribution to international warming since 1950 quantity to 92 % to 123 % of it.

It’s greater than 100 % at the upper finish as a result of some herbal forces - reminiscent of volcanoes and the Earth’s orbital cycle - are running to chill the planet however are being beaten by means of the consequences of greenhouse gases, mentioned learn about co-author Katharine Hayhoe, director of the Climate Science Center at Texas Tech University.

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Associated Press writers Josh Boak, Jill Colvin, Eric Tucker, Michael Biesecker, Seth Borenstein, Alan Fram and Elliot Spagat contributed to this record.

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Find AP Fact Checks at http://apne.ws/2kbx8bd

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